Lundqvist starts and Fogarty is in

Posted on August 3, 2020 by Derek

As expected, it’ll be Henrik Lundqvist getting the start in Game Two. The early reports were wrong about Igor Shesterkin. I feel bad for him. Steven Fogarty will play on the fourth line.

https://twitter.com/GMillerTSN/status/1290309446107713536?s=19

The Rangers need to win this game. They’ll have to do it without Jesper Fast. Fogarty is being plugged in by David Quinn on the fourth line. That means Kaapo Kakko moves up to the second line and Julien Gauthier is on line three. Here’s your Game Two lineup.

Projected Lines

Kreider-Zibanejad-Buchnevich

Panarin-Strome-Kakko

Di Giuseppe-Chytil-Gauthier

McKegg-Howden-Fogarty

Lindgren-Fox

Smith-Trouba

Staal-DeAngelo

Lundqvist

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Rangers aim to even series against Hurricanes

Posted on August 3, 2020 by Derek

It’s another early start for the Rangers and Hurricanes on a early hot August Monday afternoon in Toronto. For David Quinn’s team, this is almost do or die. They don’t want to fall behind 0-2 in a abbreviated best-of-five series versus a good team.

In order for that not to happen, they need more from key players Artemi Panarin, Chris Kreider and Mika Zibanejad. Neither Panarin nor Kreider did much of anything in Saturday’s 3-2 loss in Game One. Time and space was taken away from the Bread Man while Kreider didn’t make Petr Mrazek sweat in net. He saw the shots and stopped them.

As for Zibanejad, even though he had a goal and assist that set up Marc Staal shorthanded late, he wasn’t as consistent at even strength or on a power play that fired blanks in seven chances. Clearly, both Zibanejad and Panarin can raise their level. Kreider must be more of a factor in a couple of hours. It’s those three forwards who make this young team go. They’re the leaders.

It can’t only be Pavel Buchnevich and kids Kaapo Kakko and Filip Chytil going along with Julien Gauthier. Those were the best four forwards in Game One. Buchnevich was active which helped lead to Zibanejad scoring on a neat tip in of a Ryan Lindgren shot. Kakko and Chytil were noticeable throughout with the 19-year old rookie one of the few Rangers to get through the stingy Canes checking and generate chances. With Jesper Fast out for today, he’ll find himself on the second line with Panarin and Ryan Strome, who also must be more involved. If not, maybe Quinn swaps Chytil and Strome.

Regarding who comes in for the injured Fast, who was blown up by a clean Brady Skjei hit on the game’s opening shift, it’ll either be Steven Fogarty or Vitali Kravtsov. My bet is on Fogarty, who can slide in on the fourth line. He plays a straight ahead style and can fill in on the penalty kill. If by some surprise they decided to let former 2018 first round pick Kravtsov make his NHL debut, he would have to play on the third line. That’s if the coaching staff believes they need offense.

I fully expect Gauthier to be on the third line with Chytil and Phil Di Giuseppe. He had a good game and showed aggression versus his former team. Gauthier possesses good speed for a big man. There’s no reason not to try him in a top nine role.

On the defensive front, the Blueshirts need big games from Adam Fox and Tony DeAngelo. Neither established themselves in the first game with Fox all but invisible. I expect him to bounce back. As for DeAngelo, he got one good shot on Mrazek during a power play, but didn’t make the passes we’re accustomed to seeing. He might not be 100 percent after being a game time decision on Saturday. That doesn’t matter. He must be a factor offensively. Especially on that top power play unit that didn’t get much done.

If it continues to struggle, don’t be surprised if Quinn bumps up Kakko for Strome. Kakko was much improved due to his skating and strength, leading the team with five shots. He looked more confident and didn’t shy away from contact.

In terms of the goalie, who knows. Igor Shesterkin practiced yesterday, but it all depends on what Quinn thinks. If the rookie is still uncertain, they’ll go with Henrik Lundqvist again. He was outstanding in his franchise playoff record 128th consecutive start making 34 saves. Goalie is the least of their concerns.

The Blueshirts must play with more edge. That means winning the board battles, controlling play more, and driving the net to make life difficult on Mrazek, who didn’t have to work too hard the other day. They must pick their spots on finishing checks. Not take risks that put them out of position. You want to be aggressive, but in the right way.

This is a big test for the team. They know what Game Two means in a five game series. Win and it becomes a more manageable best two of three. Lose and their backs are against the wall. They’d have to win three straight against a proven Canes that went to last year’s Conference Final. Highly unlikely unless you’re the Pens or Oilers. The only two teams I give a chance if they went down 2-0.

With game time an hour away, things are about to get interesting. By day’s end, we’ll learn a lot more about these Blueshirts.

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Angry Hurricanes Proved A Point to Rangers

Posted on August 2, 2020 by Derek

AP Photo credit Carolina Hurricanes via Getty Images

In what technically was their first postseason game for many younger Blueshirts, they learned a valuable lesson. In Saturday’s 3-2 defeat to a determined Hurricanes in Game One of the best-of-five Stanley Cup Qualifying Series, they got beat due to a more experienced opponent imposing their will.

From the outset, it was the more aggressive Canes who came out with a point to prove. After losing all four games in the long forgotten about regular season series, they flipped the script. Ironically enough, it was former Ranger defenseman Brady Skjei who set the tone by delivering a thunderous hit that ended Jesper Fast’s day. If Fast is lost, that’s a tough hit. He certainly plays with the edge and grit necessary during the playoffs.

On the opposite end, it was Carolina that struck first. Off a sustained forecheck, it was Sebastian Aho and Teuvo Teravainen combining to set up a wide open Jaccob Slavin for his first goal only 61 seconds into the contest. A good accurate shot that Henrik Lundqvist was unable to get due to being moved laterally. Slavin was arguably the best player on the ice finishing with a goal and assist in 24-plus minutes against the Rangers top players.

They finished checks and carried most of the play in a lopsided first period. One in which the younger Blueshirts looked lost. They were a couple of steps behind. It showed as the Canes established their heavy forecheck by controlling puck possession and outskating and outhustling the Rangers. Even though his team improved as the game went on, David Quinn was quick to point out what the difference was.

The funny part is I drew the same exact conclusion. The Hurricanes looked mad. They probably were sick of hearing about how the Rangers dominated them. In every facet, it was true. They had better scoring, stronger special teams and superior goaltending. That’s likely why many pundits believe the Rangers will advance to the official Stanley Cup Playoffs.

I don’t consider myself an expert. I’m just a fan blogger, who tries to remain objective. After careful thought and consideration, I took the Blueshirts in a closely fought five games. If they win, that’s likely. This won’t be a walk in the park. Anyone who believed that doesn’t get hockey. Ex. Blue Jackets sweep Lightning in first round of 2019.

Another thing I agree on with Quinn is his team needing to be harder to play against. You barely noticed Chris Kreider. There weren’t a lot of rebounds to be had against Petr Mrazek, who did a good job in making 24 saves on 26 shots. He wasn’t under siege like Henrik Lundqvist, who sure gave his team a chance to come back in stopping 34 of 37 shots. Attempts largely favored the Canes, 69-49.

With the exception of the second period where the Rangers acquitted themselves better despite repeated trips to the sin bin by both teams, they got outplayed. Fifteen of their 26 shots came in the middle stanza where Mika Zibanejad got the the team on the board with a perfect tip in of a Ryan Lindgren point shot. He got better as the game went on. However, he and Artemi Panarin weren’t a factor on the power play, which was miserable. They took the collar in seven chances producing only eight shots. It was the Canes aggressive penalty killing that won out.

Quinn spoke about the Rangers needing to be tougher by getting inside the Hurricanes. That means going to the net and getting the jersey dirty. They spent too much time on the perimeter. Even though his team had 40 hits, that was a product of the Canes having the puck more. An area they must improve on if they want to give themselves a fighting chance.

Five-on-five, the advantage went to Carolina with a pair of goals on 22 shots. The Rangers got one on 16 shots. At even strength, the Canes held a 23-16 edge. On the power play, they converted on one key opportunity with Brett Howden off when Aho was given too much room to deflect in a Andrei Svechnikov shot. They went 1-for-7 with a dozen shots on Lundqvist. A better indication that they deserved the victory.

There can’t be undisciplined penalties like the one Greg McKegg took when he boarded Nino Niederreiter from behind with nearly 11 minutes left in regulation. Ditto for Tony DeAngelo, who interfered with Aho with just over three minutes remaining. At least Quinn sent out Panarin with Zibanejad to create a Marc Staal shorthanded goal that made things interesting with 1:55 to go.

Whether Fast and Igor Shesterkin can go tomorrow at high noon, it’s up to the 18 skaters to be better. Otherwise, they’ll be up against it. That means making certain they set their alarm clocks for not only the start after 12 PM, but the early morning to get mentally and physically prepared for an all important Game Two.

We’ll see what they’re made of.

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Special Hockey Podcast: Derek on Rangers loss to Canes, big upsets and Matt Dumba’s important message

Posted on August 2, 2020 by Derek

I decided to do a special hockey podcast before on my Hard Hits Network channel on Blogtalk Radio.

Among the big topics covered includes:

-My assessment of the Rangers 3-2 loss to Hurricanes in Game One. What they didn’t do and what Carolina did to put the pressure on the Blueshirts tomorrow. Who must step up to even the five game series. Plus thoughts on Lundqvist and Shesterkin.

-Two big upsets. Dominik Kubalik stars for the Blackhawks in their 6-4 win over the McDavid/Draisaitl Oilers. Should Edmonton be concerned? They better win tomorrow. The Habs stun the Pens 3-2 in sudden death on Jeff Petry’s clutch overtime winner. Carey Price steals Game One. Plus the Jets lose Mark Schiefle in costly 4-1 loss to Flames. Isles win over Panthers 2-1.

-Matt Dumba had a strong message prior to puck drop of Chicago and Edmonton. Why I love what he said and how active he is in the hockey community through the Hockey Diversity Alliance. My own insight on Black Lives Matter, improving relationships between law enforcement and minorities, and understanding different views without unfair generalizations. How can we be better as a society? Plus the NHL needs to do more to make hockey more affordable for lower income families.

All that and more on the link above. Here’s one more link to listen to my hockey thoughts and other key issues:

Derek On Playoff Hockey and Matt Dumba

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Rangers drop Game One to relentless Hurricanes 3-2

Posted on August 1, 2020 by Derek

From the start, the Rangers were flat. They looked lethargic in the early going of this best of five preliminary series. The poor start along with a bad break cost them in a 3-2 loss to a stronger Hurricanes team in Game One of this expanded format.

It’s a bit different. With it being a five game series, the Rangers know they must respond quickly on Monday. There is no home ice advantage here in the bubble. The first game of the unique Stanley Cup Tournament was played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto without fans. So, there wasn’t much noise aside from all the physicality we saw. There was plenty of hitting throughout.

With rookie Igor Shesterkin ruled out due to being “unfit to play,” Henrik Lundqvist made his franchise record 128th consecutive postseason start. Even though it started inauspicious for the 38-year old veteran, it sure wasn’t his fault. He played as well as can be expected, finishing with 34 saves including a pair of dandies to deny Warren Foegle and Jake Gardiner.

To be blunt, it wouldn’t have even been a game without Lundqvist doing his best work in a lopsided first period to keep his team in it. After allowing an early goal to top Carolina defenseman Jaccob Slavin short side off a great pass from Teuvo Teravainen 61 seconds in, Lundqvist settled in. Aside from a strong power move and dangerous Vincent Trocheck backhand that had him beat but went off the crossbar, he was splendid in making the next 11 saves in a period the Hurricanes outshot the Rangers 12-4.

Following Teravainen and Sebastian Aho (goal and assist) setting up Slavin’s first, the march to the penalty box began. Each team had seven power plays. It was on Carolina’s first man-advantage that Ryan Strome got into a fight with Justin Williams. It was obvious that he was trying to awaken his teammates. They looked like they were skating in quicksand.

Credit the Canes for being very aggressive. They finished every check and took away time and space while controlling puck possession. Ironically enough, it was Brady Skjei who got the best hit in when he lined up Jesper Fast at the Carolina blueline and caught him with a clean shoulder to send his former teammate to the locker room. Fast never returned.

That loss hurt. If he doesn’t return for Monday’s all important Game Two, it’ll be up to coach David Quinn to decide who should dress. The choices are Steven Fogarty, Tim Gettinger, Vitali Kravtsov, or Danny O’Regan. Vinni Lettieri was also listed as a scratch, but I’m not sure what his status is.

Forced to mix and match, Quinn tried different combinations. In the near disastrous first, he saw a couple of bright spots in Julien Gauthier and Kaapo Kakko. Both young forwards didn’t look intimidated despite all the hitting. Gauthier got off a couple of shots and Kakko wound up leading the team with five. He looked much improved and saw some shifts with Mika Zibanejad. Maybe this is the moment to see what the 19-year old second overall pick is all about. He should be in the top six without Fast.

Despite the Canes swarming Lundqvist’s net, they only took a one goal lead to the locker room. There had already been nine penalties called. That included a undisciplined Andrei Svechnikov hook that Kakko drew with six seconds left in the period.

However, one of the league’s best penalty kills frustrated the Rangers, who looked out of sorts. They were unable to get much set up time in the Carolina zone. The Canes were aggressive and forced turnovers for easy clears. We didn’t see Artemi Panarin get one clean look. Zibanejad didn’t find much space either. Tony DeAngelo got off a good low shot that Petr Mrazek handled. Adam Fox made a back pass to nobody out of the zone. Chris Kreider didn’t get anything done. Period. They must be better in the second game.

The fact that the Rangers went 0-for-7 on the power play was frustrating. They lost the battle of special teams with the Canes able to convert on one chance thanks to an Aho deflection in front off a set face-off play. With Brett Howden off for slashing Gardiner, it didn’t take long. Carolina connected 15 seconds in thanks to a Svechnikov shot pass being tipped in by Aho for his first past Lundqvist.

Sami Vatanen drew the secondary helper. Making his debut for Carolina following a trade from the Devils along with a injury, he was good throughout. Paired alongside Slavin in place of Dougie Hamilton, Vatanen recorded an assist with four shots and took two minor penalties in 20:35.

Even though they trailed by two, the Blueshirts picked up their play in the second. Generating momentum off a better power play in which Mrazek made some good stops, they started to turn the tide. A Panarin shot pass for an open Zibanejad at the doorstep just missed. If he gets it clean, he scores.

Speaking of Zibanejad, he was named the Rangers’ Extra Effort Award Winner for a second consecutive year. It was well deserved. John Giannone did a taped interview with him and he spoke about how honored he was to win the Steven McDonald Award. Mika has led by example on and off the ice all season. It’s no wonder he bounced back with a good final two periods. True to his character.

In a game that felt like one extended power play, it was Zibanejad striking at even strength for the Rangers’ first goal. On some sustained pressure from Pavel Buchnevich, Kreider kept the puck alive for Ryan Lindgren. Following a shaky first in which he showed nerves in his first postseason game, he did the right thing and got a low shot through that Zibanejad could redirect with Buchnevich screening Mrazek for a big goal. That made it 2-1 with 5:34 left in the second.

Simply put, it was the first consistent shift from the KZB line at five-on-five. A rarity in this game. Each team recorded 21 penalty minutes for a game total of 42. Following the Zibanejad tally, Kreider took a needless hi-sticking minor on Vatanen nine seconds later. That was the kinda game it was. Most of the calls were legit. It had a lot to do with the players not being game ready. So, you had a lot of unnecessary stick fouls. There were only a couple of ticky tac calls.

Lundqvist made some key saves on the Canes power play to keep the Rangers within one. He was sharp throughout and showed some of his brilliance versus an opponent he’s historically owned. If Shesterkin can’t go in two days, I have no problem with Lundqvist starting Game Two. This was as good as he’s looked all season. Maybe the extra time off helped. He looks fresh.

A Strome hook on Williams handed the Canes a late power play with 73 seconds remaining in the period. It was one of those mindless Strome penalties he can’t take. With no Fast available and Strome in the box, Quinn used Filip Chytil for a penalty killing shift. It worked out okay.

The only gripe I have is why didn’t Quinn consider using Panarin shorthanded. He wasn’t a factor due to little five-on-five. They needed offense. After the first period, Howden fed all Ranger forwards in ice-time. That made no sense. Panarin still would up with 20:59 including 7:46 on the power play. But Howden received over 17 minutes including 5:50 shorthanded. He also saw extra shifts at even strength with Fast out.

By comparison, Zibanejad logged a game high 25:32 because he plays in every situation including power play (8:35) and penalty kill (6:21). He also took 21 draws winning nine. Strome was good going 6-for-11 while Howden dominated by winning 6 of 8. Chytil struggled losing 8 of 11. On the Carolina side, Jordan Staal went 10-for-18, Trocheck 8-for-12 and Aho 10 of 21. Overall, the Canes won the face-off battle 31-26.

Predictably, the teams finally adjusted in the third which was played mostly at five-on-five. That’s where I believe it must be played in order for the Rangers to win. They were coming on. With the exception of minors on Greg McKegg (boarding) and DeAngelo (interference), it was played at even strength.

Even though the Hurricanes got 14 shots on Lundqvist, he was equal to the task. Following McKegg’s penalty expiring, he came out of the box and back in the play. Unfortunately, a Nino Niederreiter pass for a Martin Necas low one-timer took a unfavorable bounce off Marc Staal’s skate right past an exasperated Lundqvist. He was set for Necas shot with the glove ready, but instead it changed direction and went right through for a crushing goal that allowed Carolina to take a 3-1 lead with 9:09 left in the third.

It sure looked like it was over following the DeAngelo minor. However, Quinn finally wised up and sent Panarin out with Zibanejad for a penalty kill shift. Searching for offense, he found it from an unlikely source. After some good stick handling from Panarin, he got the puck to Zibanejad, who passed for an open Staal one-timer that beat Mrazek with 1:55 left in regulation. It was a good shot that deflected off a Hurricane for a rare Staal shorthanded goal. He deserved a break following what happened.

The Rangers were able to pull Lundqvist for an extra skater. But the stingy Canes wouldn’t allow them to tie it. They earned the first win of the series by being better overall. More complete. Now, it’s up to the Rangers to respond.

Battle of Hudson Three Stars

3rd 🌟 Jaccob Slavin, Hurricanes (1st of postseason 61 seconds in plus 🍎 in team high 24:40 including 7:28 shorthanded)

2nd 🌟 Sebastian Aho, Hurricanes (power play goal plus 🍎 in 21:33)

1st 🌟 Henrik Lundqvist, Rangers (34 saves including some gems in team record 128th straight postseason start)

Notes: Rangers wound up with 40 hits including nine from Howden and six from Kreider. The Canes recorded 28 with no one with more than three. … Blocked shots were 15-9 NYR. … Carolina outshot the Rangers 37-29 and out-attempted them 69-49. … Game Two is Monday at noon.

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Stanley Cup Qualifying Round Picks

Posted on August 1, 2020 by Derek

It’s Day One of the NHL expanded playoff format. Over the next week and a half, sixteen teams will compete for a chance to advance in a Best of Five preliminary round. Only eight will make the true Stanley Cup Playoffs. Four in the East and four out West.

A unique postseason that features 24 teams competing for a shot at Lord Stanley. Maybe there’s a sleeper from this class that makes a deep run in the playoff bubble of either Edmonton or Toronto. There won’t be any fans. So no home ice. Not even for the Oilers or Maple Leafs, who both must advance to the Sweet Sixteen to still be alive.

Even the championship pedigree Penguins must prove themselves. On paper, their match-up against Team Price Montreal looks like a mismatch. But these are short series. Anything can happen. While the 16 teams that don’t have byes battle it out, a round robin format will determine the top four seeds in each Conference. The East featuring the Bruins, Lightning, Capitals and Flyers. The West including the defending champion Blues, Avalanche, Stars and Golden Knights. That won’t be as stressful as the teams playing for their playoff livelihood.

So, what should we expect? It’s hard to predict. A lot will depend upon which teams rediscover chemistry quickly following a four and a half month layoff. They’re going on training camps and one exhibition game. It won’t be easy.

Let’s take a look at the eight Preliminary Series:

EAST

(5) Pens vs (12) Habs

Analysis: Carey Price is capable of stealing a game. Unless their spotty defense can slow down Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, a healthy Jake Guentzel, Kris Letang, Patric Hornqvist and key addition Jason Zucker, it’s hard to see Montreal prevailing. I’ll be curious to see who Mike Sullivan goes with. Matt Murray or Tristan Jarry. The Canadiens need big performances from Price, Shea Weber, Jeff Petry, Max Domi, Nick Suzuki, Jonathan Drouin and Tomas Tatar.

Prediction: Pens in 4

(6) Hurricanes vs (11) Rangers

Analysis: I had a more detailed outlook in a previous post. To reiterate, the Rangers have the best player in the series and better goalies. They’re more top heavy. The Hurricanes are deeper. However, their goalie tandem would have to really come up to deny the likes of Artemi Panarin, Mika Zibanejad and Chris Kreider. I trust Igor Shesterkin or Henrik Lundqvist more. If Tony DeAngelo can’t go, then take Carolina. Otherwise, go with the bigger stars in a short series.

Prediction: Rangers in 5

(7) Islanders vs (10) Panthers

Analysis: Top to bottom, the Islanders under Barry Trotz are deeper due to their system. They beat a different Panthers team thanks to the heroics of John Tavares. That feels like a lifetime ago. Both rosters have changed. Florida features top tier talent in Sasha Barkov, Evgenii Dadonov, Jonathan Huberdeau, Mike Hoffman, Keith Yandle and Aaron Ekblad. Joel Quenneville is counting on Sergei Bobrovsky to dust off the rust. The Isles do it with grit and determination. Mat Barzal, Brock Nelson, Anders Lee, Josh Bailey, Jordan Eberle and Ryan Pulock are the key guys. Keep an eye on Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Derick Brassard. Key supporting Cats include Noel Acciari, Brian Boyle and Frank Vatrano. I’ve gone back and forth due to the differences in two balanced rosters. If Semyon Varlamov performs, the Isles should advance.

Prediction: Islanders in 5

(8) Maple Leafs vs (9) Blue Jackets

Analysis: On paper, the more talented Leafs are better due to established stars Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, Tavares, William Nylander. Tyson Barrie and Morgan Rielly lead a defense that’s scary in its own end. Jake Muzzin could be a key. Freddie Andersen is the last line of defense. Andreas Johnsson, Kasperi Kapanen and Zach Hyman play supporting roles. Do they trust Rasmus Sandin enough to play him? John Tortorella somehow got his Blue Jackets here without Panarin, Matt Duchene, Bobrovsky and countless others due to injuries. They’ll have Seth Jones back teamed with Zach Werenski. Elvis Merzlikins can steal games. It could come down to the forwards led by Pierre-Luc Dubois, Oliver Bjorkstrand, Cam Atkinson, Gustav Nyquist, Boone Jenner and Nick Foligno. They have the better defense and more proven coach. But the pressure is all on the skilled Leafs.

Prediction: Maple Leafs in 5

WEST

(5) Oilers vs (12) Blackhawks

Analysis: New guard versus old guard. The electric duo of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl vs Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews. The Oilers should be hungry. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is a difference maker. Zack Kassian should wreak havoc against a weak Chicago defense that still hinges on Duncan Keith. Kailer Yamamoto is a weapon for Edmonton. Darnell Nurse is the best defenseman in the series. James Neal was acquired for this scenario. Does it matter whether it’s Mikko Koskinen or Mike Smith? I doubt it. If Corey Crawford plays, he could have recurring nightmares of McDavid and Draisaitl on breakaways. Alex DeBrincat and Dominik Kubalik are key youngsters for Chicago along with vet Brandon Saad. I don’t see it.

Prediction: Oilers in 4

(6) Predators vs (11) Coyotes

Analysis: Even though it’s likely the unproven Juuse Saros in net over Pekka Rinne, the Preds are better than the Coyotes. Maybe Duchene and Ryan Johansen will step up. They have before. Along with Viktor Arvidsson and Filip Forsberg, they had underwhelming seasons. That’s forgotten. Led by Roman Josi on a strong blueline that includes Ryan Ellis, Mattias Ekholm and Dante Fabbro, they’re a good team that knows this could be it. I’ll take the experience of Nashville over the youth of Arizona, who need a signature series from Taylor Hall. Christian Dvorak, Clayton Keller, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Jakob Chychrun and Conor Garland are good. Darcy Kuemper has to steal games and the experience of Derek Stepan and Phil Kessel must come through.

Prediction: Predators in 5

(7) Canucks vs (10) Wild

Analysis: Logic says the top tier talent of Elias Pettersson, JT Miller, Brock Boeser, Bo Horvat and Quinn Hughes are enough for Vancouver to prevail. However, the Wild did improve down the stretch. They boast a deeper blueline with Matt Dumba healthy along with Ryan Suter, Jared Spurgeon, Jonas Brodin and Carson Soucy. It isn’t only Zach Parise, Eric Staal or Mats Zuccarello. Kevin Fiala is the key forward along with Luke Kunin, Ryan Donato and Marcus Foligno. What will they get from Alex Galchenyuk? Vancouver gets the edge in net with Jacob Markstrom back. He was having his best year. Alex Stalock is the Minnesota number one for now. Devan Dubnyk backs up. Kaapo Kahkonen is the wildcard.

Prediction: Canucks in 5

(8) Flames vs (9) Jets

Analysis: This is the hardest series to call. They’re so similar. Both love to play up tempo and utilize their skating to dictate play. It’s an old rivalry from the Smythe days. I prefer the core of Winnipeg. How can you not love Mark Schiefele, Blake Wheeler, Kyle Connor, Patrik Laine and Nik Ehlers. As questionable as the D is anchored by Josh Morrissey and ex-Ranger Neal Pionk, they boast the better netminder in likely Vezina winner Connor Hellebuyck. He’s miles better than either Cam Talbot or David Rittich. Calgary has a better defense with Mark Giordano, TJ Brodie, Noah Hanifin and Rasmus Andersson. No Travis Hamonic will hurt. Unless the core of Johnny Gaudreau, Sean Monahan, Elias Lindholm, Matthew Tkachuk and Sam Bennett outplay the Jets stars, it’s hard to see them coming out on top. Milan Lucic needs to be effective. I keep pointing to Hellebuyck and Connor, who I believe is a breakout star. It’ll be exciting.

Prediction: Jets in 5

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How They Stack Up: Rangers vs Hurricanes

Posted on July 31, 2020 by Derek

In less than 24 hours, the puck will drop on the first of eight best of five Preliminary Series. The Rangers and Hurricanes will be featured in the Stanley Cup Qualifying Round. Only one team will advance to the Sweet Sixteen.

The 6/11 match-up should be closely fought between two teams that were separated by two points in the standings before the pause. It is a contrast of styles and a difference in experience.

Undoubtedly, the more proven Hurricanes have the edge in the latter due to their run to last year’s Eastern Conference Final before the Bruins rolled them in four. Stylistically, they play an aggressive puck possession game based on skating from the defense out. Assuming Dougie Hamilton can’t go, that’ll hurt. They still boast strong skating Jaccob Slavin, Sami Vatanen and former Ranger Brady Skjei to push the pace.

The Rangers also like to use quick transition up the ice due to gifted defensemen Tony DeAngelo and Adam Fox. Both will be counted on to lead an attack that features superstar Artemi Panarin, Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider, Pavel Buchnevich and Ryan Strome.

If there’s a similarity, both teams prefer to have the puck and apply forecheck pressure due to their speed and skill. The Canes feature Sebastian Aho, Teuvo Teravainen and Andrei Svechnikov. A dynamic trio that can’t be overlooked. Maybe none have the star power of a Panarin or finishing ability of a Zibanejad. But they are three superb skaters with Aho and Svechnikov explosive if they’re given time and space. Teravainen is a great passer.

The Rangers boast the best power forward in the series with a healthy Kreider, who combines a unique skill set of size, speed, and grit. Very adept at screening goalies, he can be a decoy due to his net front presence or tip shots in. Rebounds are also an area he excels. If he’s in transition at full speed, he is lethal on breakaways where he can either fire a wrist shot or go to his patented forehand, backhand deke to beat goalies. Don’t forget he’s playoff proven since his introduction during the 2012 Playoffs.

In terms of proven performers, nobody has the resume of Mr. Game Seven, Justin Williams. He returned to the Canes after some time off. The 38-year old veteran right wing isn’t quite a future Hall of Famer. However, he’s the epitome of clutch. A three-time Stanley Cup champion and Conn Smythe winner at the expense of the Blueshirts in 2014, Williams usually saves his best for these big spots. Though not quite as productive as what he once was, he is a winning player, whose 101 points (40-61-101) in the postseason are proof that he is someone you don’t want to get going.

In terms of Stanley Cup experience, give the edge to the Hurricanes. They total seven including Williams with three, Joel Edmundson (1), Jordan Staal (1), Teravainen (1) and Trevor van Riemsdyk (1). Four Rangers are left from the ’13-14 roster that lost to the Kings. They are Jesper Fast, Kreider, Henrik Lundqvist and Marc Staal. It’s also interesting to note that Kreider has the most points in the postseason from a Blueshirts perspective. Panarin is just under a point-per-game in appearances with Chicago and Columbus. Zibanejad doesn’t have too much experience, but was productive in 2017. He scored the clutch overtime winner at Montreal.

Goaltending should favor the Rangers thanks to rookie Igor Shesterkin and Lundqvist, who is a proven performer if the kid struggles. Carolina will go with the tandem of Petr Mrazek and James Reimer. Reimer performed better during the season than Mrazek. Who knows what coach Rod Brind’Amour will decide.

In terms of how they match-up up front and on the back end, here’s how it looks.

FORWARDS

The Rangers top six of Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Panarin, Strome and Fast should give them an edge due to boasting two scoring lines. However, the Hurricanes boast some solid checkers like two-way pivot Jordan Staal, who should see a lot of either the KZB line or Panarin unit. That depends how Brind’Amour plays it. He will have last change in Games 1-2 and 5 if necessary. He could opt to go head to head with the trio of Teravainen, Aho and Svechnikov against the Zibanejad scoring unit.

The Canes may boast more depth due to Staal, Williams, Vincent Trocheck, Nino Niederreiter, Ryan Dzingel, Warren Foegle and Brock McGinn. While much of the focus will be on Kaapo Kakko for the Rangers along with Filip Chytil, keep an eye on Martin Necas (probable for tomorrow) and Morgan Geekie. Both could be factors if Carolina is successful. The Rangers will look towards kids Chytil and Kakko for scoring help. Wildcards are Brett Howden, former Cane Greg McKegg and Brendan Lemieux if he gets in following the two game suspension. Phil Di Giuseppe is a good skater, who’s been a nice fit on the third line.

Edge: Even

DEFENSEMEN

Even without Hamilton (out for Game 1) and Brett Pesce, the Canes are still formidable thanks to Slavin, who can control the tempo. A good all around player, he will draw the assignment with Vatanen against either KZB or the Bread Man line. It’ll be interesting to see how Brady Skjei performs versus his former team. Will he fare well or commit some of the mind-boggling mistakes that turned fans off? He has postseason experience, doing well in his one appearance three years ago.

The Canes also have Jake Gardiner, who was a big disappointment. He can play third pair and power play. Edmundson is probably the most overlooked. A solid, steady D who won with the Blues, he came over for offensive defenseman Justin Faulk. Boasting depth with the likes of van Riemsdyk, Haydn Fleury and Jake Bean, Carolina has plenty of options. If Hamilton returns for a potential Game Four or deciding Five, that could tilt it in their favor.

David Quinn will lean on the rookie tandem of Ryan Lindgren and Adam Fox. Lindgren plays the strong, physical game that can agitate opponents, allowing the smoother skating Fox to transition quickly. Very slick and poised for a first-year player, he can make plays look easy. A terrific passer, Foxy is effective at five-on-five and plays on the second power play unit with Jacob Trouba. Trouba was a bit inconsistent after a good start. Maybe it was the tough transition from Winnipeg to New York. His former partner Skjei didn’t help. Now, he is teamed with Brendan Smith. Trouba must carry that pair for it to work. He can supply offense with a heavy shot.

Unless he can’t go tomorrow, DeAngelo will be with familiar partner Marc Staal. Staal is good to go after sitting out the third period in a tuneup against the Islanders on Wednesday night. The savvy veteran provides the nuts and bolts. He will draw tough assignments, check and block shots. He’s part of the penalty kill with Lindgren, Trouba and Smith. DeAngelo is the dynamic offensive defenseman who’s been splendid. A great skater who has excellent vision, DeAngelo can find open teammates while finding room for his accurate shot if left open. If he can’t go on Saturday, that’s a big hit. Libor Hajek would replace him and that could jumble the Quinn’s pairings.

Edge: Hurricanes

INTANGIBLES

If you’re looking for a gray area in what shapes up to be a competitive series, this could be it. There’s the Hurricanes’ experience versus the Rangers’ youth. You have the star power of Panarin, who’s up for the Hart, against the emerging star of Aho and Svechnikov. There’s the unique combination of Kreider and skill of Zibanejad vs the stick to it mentality of Jordan Staal and been there done that before in Williams. The playmaking of Teravainen vs the emergence of Strome, who’s benefited greatly from playing with Panarin. The grit and hustle of Fast vs the similar Foegle.

The youthful exuberance of Kakko and Chytil vs Necas and Geekie, who looked the part in a brief stint. The unique storyline of Skjei up against the team that found him expendable. The subplot of Fox vs Carolina, who he didn’t sign with. They traded him to the Rangers, who are extremely happy. What about McKegg, who was played a role last Spring for the Canes? Or Julien Gauthier, who they gave up on. It’s juicy.

ANALYSIS

In order for the Rangers to prevail, they must do a good job winning enough key face-offs against a better opponent on draws. That means Quinn will use a lot of Zibanejad and Strome when he can. He also should utilize Howden or McKegg when possible. They don’t match up in the circle. Puck possession will be huge. Shesterkin can’t be under siege. That might’ve worked in the regular season, but won’t now. That means winning board battles, clearing the zone and minimizing icings along with undisciplined penalties.

This has the feel of a long series. Contrasting styles usually make for good match-ups. There should be plenty of skating and transition. However, what if Brind’Amour decides to slow it down? A track meet would probably favor the Rangers due to their game breakers. A tight checking affair would actually benefit the more proven Canes.

What about the goalies? Will the Blueshirts make quick work of Mrazek and Reimer like the season series? I’ve said before that doesn’t matter. The winner will be determined by who’s able to defend better and execute their strategy at even strength. Special teams will play a part. It’ll go the distance.

SERIES PREDICTION

Rangers in 5

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Rangers drop tuneup against Islanders

Posted on July 29, 2020 by Derek

In the first hockey they’ve played since March, the Rangers had an exhibition game against the Islanders at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. It was a tuneup for both old rivals as they each get ready for their respective Preliminary Series that starts this Saturday, August 1.

Considering that it was only one game prior to the expanded format starting up for real, the lineups were about what you’d expect. The Rangers dressed what will be their Game One lineup plus suspended forward Brendan Lemieux. Here are the projected lines for Carolina:

Kreider-Zibanejad-Buchnevich

Panarin-Strome-Fast

Di Giuseppe-Chytil-Kakko

McKegg-Howden-Gauthuer

Lemieux

The defense pairs were the same with rookie tandem Ryan Lindgren and Adam Fox leading the way.

Lindgren-Fox

Smith-Trouba

Staal-DeAngelo

Hajek

Igor Shesterkin got the first half of the game. He permitted one goal on an Anthony Beauvillier rush before giving way to backup Henrik Lundqvist. Beauvillier made a smart play by looking pass and catching Shesterkin by surprise with a good wrist shot short side to give the Islanders a 1-0 lead.

The exhibition was a bit sloppy. That was expected. You had some good scoring chances created early by Hart candidate Artemi Panarin, who along with Ryan Strome just missed. Pavel Buchnevich also was aggressive on a shift looking for his shot to force Isles starter Semyon Varlamov into a good save.

The Rangers got into some penalty trouble in the first period. After Tony DeAngelo hooked Matt Martin, they had to deal with some strong Isles pressure in their end. In particular, Derick Brassard created some good opportunities for teammates including Brock Nelson, who had a pointblank chance go wide.

The Isles also had an abbreviated five-on-three that didn’t accomplish anything. The Blueshirts penalty killers did a strong job blocking shots and intercepting passes to make key clears down. They were sharper than their opponent’s power play.

In fact, despite not getting a power play in the first half of the tuneup, the Rangers outshot the Islanders 12-5 in the opening 20 minutes. Kaapo Kakko showed more confidence on a shift with the puck by skating into the Isles zone and getting off a good wrist shot that Varlamov stopped. The rookie showed improved skating on the play. He is a key player who could be an X-Factor versus the Hurricanes in the best of five match-up.

Defensively speaking, the Rangers did a nice job keeping the Isles attack outside. Tony DeAngelo made a nice recovery down low to break up a scoring chance, deflecting the shot wide. That’s an area he continues to work at to improve. The offensive defenseman certainly should provide quality chances at both even strength and on the power play.

On the strange side, you had Lemieux get into a tussle with Isles veteran defenseman Johnny Boychuk. It amounted to a wrestling match. Meaningless. What’s the point? Especially in a exhibition after everyone has been medically cleared to participate. I doubt you’ll see too many scraps in this Stanley Cup Tournament. It doesn’t make sense. The physicality will be there along with the board battles.

Speaking of which, Barry Trotz dressed Russ Johnston as his extra forward. That’s basically what he is for the Isles with both Cal Clutterbuck and Martin healthy to play with Casey Cizikas. Johnston loves to goon it up and finish checks. He’s a legit heavyweight. Something the Blueshirts don’t have. Nothing materialized with the Rangers lacking a true heavyweight.

Overall, Varlamov was very sharp making some excellent saves to deny the Rangers. That included a couple on Jesper Fast at the doorstep. The veteran netminder went the first two without allowing a goal on 19 shots. He should start the Isles series versus the Panthers. It’ll be a battle of Russian goaltenders unless Joel Quenneville isn’t confident in Sergei Bobrovsky, who was rusty in Florida’s tuneup. The former Vezina winner has been a huge bust in Year One for the Cats.

In the third period with the Rangers still trailing by a goal, Sam Rosen noted that Marc Staal was done for the night. They term it as unfit to play. Hopefully, it’s nothing serious. The defensive depth is weak with Libor Hajek the seventh defenseman. Staal looked okay paired with regular partner DeAngelo. We’ll have to wait and see what his status will be for Saturday afternoon.

Hajek took regular shifts as the extra D in the final stanza. He looked alright while mostly teamed with Staal’s partner DeAngelo. The skating isn’t the issue. It’s the physicality. We now have to hope Staal will be okay for the first game against the Canes.

The Rangers didn’t mount much in the third. Credit the Isles stingy defense as they did a good job of checking and clogging up the neutral zone. Time and space was taken away from Panarin and Mika Zibanejad. The Isles should benefit from having Adam Pelech back for the qualifying round. Added to a solid D corps that includes Ryan Pulock, Scott Mayfield, Andy Greene, Devon Toews, Nick Leddy, Boychuk and rookie Noah Dobson, that should give them a defensive edge over Florida.

In the last half of the period, Toews (far side) and Filip Chytil traded goals for the 2-1 final. Toews was able to beat Lundqvist with a good wrist shot inside the goalpost. Otherwise, Lundqvist was sharp with his best stop on Mat Barzal, who tested his glove on a power play.

Chytil benefited from some excellent persistence from Fast, who took a Brendan Smith feed and broke in to get a tough backhand on Greiss that caromed into the corner. Fast got to it and centered for Chytil, who got enough on the shot to have it deflect off Josh Bailey and in. A good sign for the young center. He and Kakko looked good on the third line with Di Giuseppe.

David Quinn pulled Lundqvist following an icing with 2:13 left. However, the Rangers hardly tested Greiss, who got strong defensive coverage from his teammates. The Isles were stronger on face-offs and won most of the battles to clear the zone. The Rangers even with the KZB line plus Panarin, Fox and DeAngelo, couldn’t mount anything.

DeAngelo took some shifts late playing the left side with Fox. He did that in a few games before the break when Quinn searched for offense. Maybe he winds up on that side eventually. Something I suggested here and now Larry Brooks did in the NY Post today.

I felt the Rangers were a step behind at the end while the Isles looked in sync playing that air tight defensive system under Trotz. Hopefully, they’ll pick up the pace when it gets going for real on Saturday at high noon.

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Igor’s net to lose unless something changes

Posted on July 28, 2020 by Derek

When examining the goaltending in the preliminary series that begins this Saturday, all one has to do is point to the outstanding play of rookie Igor Shesterkin. After coming up from Hartford in January, the Rangers net became his to lose.

That’s how well the poised 24-year old Russian netminder played. In 12 starts, he went 10-2-0 with a 2.52 goals-against-average (GAA) and .932 save percentage. Four of those victories saw him make over 40 saves including 44 against the Sharks. He also made 46 in his second career start versus the Devils. The only opponent who scored over three against him in a rematch when Shesterkin returned from an injury sustained in a car accident.

To his credit, he recovered quickly by stopping 31 of 33 shots in a victory over the Stars. One opponent he did face was the Rangers upcoming one on August 1. He defeated the Hurricanes in Raleigh by stopping 27 shots on Feb. 21. The other three victories in the season series came from Henrik Lundqvist. However, he’ll be the backup when things kick off in Toronto. Not a bad option if something changes.

For coach David Quinn, it’s an easy decision to go with Igor. He’s given him no reason not to. Once Shesterkin arrived, the Rangers season changed. They got the key saves and their confidence grew. This isn’t about what Lundqvist or Alex Georgiev didn’t do. They weren’t as consistent. The team had a lot more success after Igor arrived. It showed in their improvement that had them within two points of the wildcard when play was paused due to COVID-19.

In the unique best of five preliminary series, the first two games will be back-to-back this weekend. I’ve seen some people suggest going back to Lundqvist for Game Two. That should be a last resort. If Shesterkin performs well, he should play. However, it’s imperative that the team wins that first game. That could be a factor in what Quinn determines.

Personally, I feel most comfortable with Shesterkin as the Rangers goalie. He’s proven capable and been unflappable. He has a calm demeanor and presence that rubs off on teammates. That allowed them to play their game and have a strong finish to the regular season.

Unless there’s a hiccup, there’s no debate. Even with Lundqvist playing his best versus a team he’s owned, it’s Igor’s net to lose. Let him get the experience. This is how it’s going to be over the long term. The franchise has a bright future ahead with the former 2014 fourth round gem taken number 118.

Whatever they decide in the off-season regarding Lundqvist and Georgiev is on the back burner. Right now, they’re all in on a big opportunity. Advance to the Stanley Cup best of seven phase and anything can happen. The focus is on Carolina.

It’ll be exciting for fans, who have missed the Blueshirts these past few months. This will be unlike any postseason we’ve seen. Following tomorrow’s tuneup against the Islanders, it all starts up for real on Saturday. Get ready.

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Rangers leave for Toronto, Hamilton’s status doubtful for Hurricanes

Posted on July 26, 2020 by Derek

As the Rangers flew out to Toronto for the rest of the foreseeable future, they will be one of eight Eastern teams competing in the expanded Stanley Cup Tournament which begins in six days.

The masks are in supply as pictured above courtesy the official Rangers Twitter account. Now, they’ll be in the bubble making preparations for the Hurricanes. That’ll include a exhibition tuneup on Wednesday against the rival Islanders, who’ll be doing battle versus the Panthers. Both teams are looking to advance into the real Stanley Cup Tournament. Eight of sixteen teams competing in the preliminary round will move on to the Round of 16.

While all systems are go for the Rangers, who haven’t been hit by the injury bug, the Hurricanes could be missing a key player. Unrelated to his previous injury, defenseman Dougie Hamilton is hurt. As reported below by Carolina beat reporter Sara Civian of The Athletic, the top right defenseman could be out week to week. If that’s true, his status is in doubt.

That would be a significant loss for the Canes. Especially given the skating, puck possession and offense Hamilton brings from the blueline. In 47 games, the 27-year old was on pace for a career season. He led all Canes defensemen in scoring with 40 points (14-26-40) along with a plus-30 rating. The breakdown was 27 even strength points and 12 on the power play. Plus a shorthanded assist.

Hamilton averaged 23:17 of ice-time in the regular season. Only ace shutdown D Jaccob Slavin averaged more going 23:24 over 68 games. He is the second leading point getter from the Carolina back end, chipping in with six goals, 30 assists and 36 points along with a plus-30. A rising star, the 25-year old will be a key for the Hurricanes.

Without Hamilton, Slavin took practice shifts with former Devil Sami Vatanen. He was acquired for a bargain to help improve the Canes’ depth. Assuming Hamilton can’t go in the upcoming series, Vatanen will team with Slavin on the top pair. That leaves open slots for ex-Ranger Brady Skjei, Joel Edmundson, Jake Gardiner, Jake Bean and either Haydn Fleury or Trevor van Riemsdyk. Brett Pesce remains uncertain for the Play In phase. He’s a top four D on the Canes who’s probably their most underrated defenseman.

If you take away both Hamilton and Pesce, that negates the Canes’ biggest edge. They still would have a solid group, but losing half of their top four including their top offensive weapon in Hamilton, who acts like an extra forward, would hurt their chances of winning against the Rangers.

The Blueshirts know they can roll out a top six that features KZB line members Chris Kreider, Mika Zibanejad, Pavel Buchnevich along with Hart candidate Artemi Panarin, Ryan Strome and Jesper Fast. They also should feel pretty good about rookie tandem Ryan Lindgren and Adam Fox, who’ve been their most dependable at even strength. Having savvy veteran Marc Staal with Tony DeAngelo behind Brendan Smith and Jacob Trouba provides balance. However, if someone goes down, it gets thin real quick with extra defenseman Libor Hajek.

Look for improvement from rookie Kaapo Kakko, who drew praise from coach David Quinn. He took some shifts when Buchnevich missed practice. He and Filip Chytil could play a pivotal role on the third line with Phil Di Giuseppe.

With Brendan Lemieux serving the first two games of a well deserved suspension for a foolish hit from the blindside on Joonas Donskoi against the Avalanche, the frustrating agitator is his own worst enemy. You have to think he’ll get back in the lineup for Game Three. But that could depend on how the series is going. For now, the fourth line consists of Brett Howden, Greg McKegg and Julien Gauthier. Two former Canes who should be motivated. Skjei has the same incentive versus the Rangers, who decided he was expendable.

Tomorrow, I’ll get into more of the forwards and goalies.

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